Heating Load & Furnace Size Estimate

A simplified envelope heat-loss estimate: conduction through walls, windows and the top-floor ceiling, plus heat to warm incoming outside air. Use your local winter design temperature.

Important: This is a preliminary estimate. Equipment for a whole house should be sized with an ACCA Manual J load calculation, with Manual S for equipment selection and Manual D for ducts.

Results update as you type.

Btu/h·ft²·°F

From the NFRC label. Older double-pane ≈ 0.5, single-pane ≈ 1.0.

°F
°F

Your local 99% heating design temperature (from ACCA Manual J or ASHRAE data).

%

How it’s calculated

  • UA = wall area ÷ R + window area × U + ceiling area ÷ R
  • Conduction = UA × (T indoor − T outdoor)
  • Infiltration = 0.018 × volume × ACH × ΔT
  • Furnace input = load ÷ AFUE

Worked example

1,500 sq ft home: 1,200 sq ft R-13 walls, 200 sq ft U-0.30 windows, R-38 ceiling, 8 ft ceilings, average leakage, 70 °F in, 5 °F out.

Inputs

Net exterior wall area (excluding windows)
1200 sq ft
Wall R-value (whole wall)
13
Window and door glass area
200 sq ft
Window U-factor
0.3 Btu/h·ft²·°F
Ceiling area under attic
1500 sq ft
Ceiling R-value
38
Conditioned floor area
1500 sq ft
Average ceiling height
8 ft
Air leakage (natural air changes per hour)
Average (0.5 ACH)
Indoor design temperature
70 °F
Outdoor winter design temperature
5 °F
Furnace AFUE
95 %

Results

Design heating load
19,486 BTU/h
Minimum furnace input rating
20,511 BTU/h
Conduction loss
12,466 BTU/h
Air leakage loss
7,020 BTU/h

Load this example into the calculator

Assumptions and limits

  • Floors, basements, slab edges and duct losses are not included.
  • 0.018 Btu/ft³·°F is the heat capacity of standard air.
  • Internal and solar gains are ignored (conservative for heating).

Verify the result against the applicable local code, adopted code edition, manufacturer instructions and project requirements. See our methodology.

Questions

What size furnace do I need for 1,500 square feet?

It depends far more on climate, insulation and air leakage than floor area. This example house needs about 19,500 BTU/h at 5 °F — much less than old "50 BTU per square foot" rules suggest.

Why not just use BTU per square foot?

Per-square-foot rules ignore insulation, windows and climate and usually oversize equipment. Oversized furnaces short-cycle and heat unevenly.